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你现在的位置:首页>>群组>>北美与海外电影票房>>北美周末票房预测(6月29-7月1日):泰迪熊,魔力麦克,黑疯婆子的证人保护计划,天上掉下个姐姐

北美周末票房预测(6月29-7月1日):泰迪熊,魔力麦克,黑疯婆子的证人保护计划,天上掉下个姐姐

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2012-6-29 14:09:28

1. Ted - 38.0 ($11,732 PTA)

2. Magic Mike - 37.0 ($12,628 PTA)

3. Brave - 35.0 (-47.2%)

4. Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection - 24.0 ($11,106 PTA)

5. Madagascar 3 - 11.0 (-44.2%)

6. Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter - 7.0 (-57.1%)

7. Moonrise Kingdom - 4.7 (+38.5%)

8. The Avengers - 4.6 (-35.9%)

9. People Like Us - 4.3 ($2,092 PTA)

10. Snow White and the Huntsman - 4.3 (-46.8%)

1. I'm feeling bullish on Ted due to many positive signs. Its Flixster/RottenTomatoes user ratings had jumped from around 31,000 votes to over 47K by Thursday night, with a beautifully accelerating daily pattern. It is averaging over 10K tweets a day this week, and being able to enter the top 5 of Fandango's ticket sales list on Wednesday is excellent for a R-rated comedy. With the lack of success for the genre this year, especially when comparing to last summer, we are due for one to break out, and Ted fits the profile quite nicely. The word-of-mouth looks to be good as well, so we may be looking at a potential $150m+ success.

2. The advance sales for Magic Mike are indeed eye-popping, and it starts to remind me of Sex and the City, another film where older females were buying group tickets in droves ahead of time. On the other hand, like Sex and the City, Magic Mike should be super Friday-frontloaded, as it will similarly be all about ladies-night-out on Friday night. I expect it to win Friday with $16-17m, but have a much worse IM in the 2.1-2.3 range.

3. There is a small chance that for the first time ever, we could see 4 $30m+ films in one weekend, but the buzz for the latest Tyler Perry's Madea endeavor hasn't really picked up to the point where it is likely to happen. Still, if the top 2 openers perform well, we could be looking at a $180m combined for the top 12 films, quite healthy for this frame and making us forget G.I. Joe 2 was originally slated for this weekend until a month ago. With movies targeting different demos doing well at the same time, it would provide another concern for The Amazing Spider-Man, which prospect appears dimmer by the day with its tepid advance sales, low tweets count, and the general lack of buzz.

 

#泰迪熊/Ted(2012)

泰迪熊
Ted
(2012)


#魔力麦克/Magic Mike(2012)魔力麦克
Magic Mike
(2012)


#黑疯婆子的证人保护计划/Madea(2012)黑疯婆子的证人保护计划
Madea
(2012)


#天上掉下个姐姐/People Like Us(2012)天上掉下个姐姐
People Like Us
(2012)


标签: 票房(979) 泰迪熊(18) 预测(269) 北美(361) 魔力麦克(12) 黑疯婆子的证人保护计(2) 天上掉下个姐姐(2)
本话题来源于日志:http://i.mtime.com/2565253/blog/7405598/
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